Soccer prediction market scorecard, coming soon.
Same model architecture as the live CS2 MARKET page. GOS fair value vs Kalshi prices, with edges flagged before kickoff. Premier League first, then Champions League knockouts.
- Match result fair values on every Premier League fixture, all three outcomes priced
- Live Kalshi prices logged at publish, with the edge against GOS fair value flagged
- HAVOC player ratings feeding the team-level model, same approach as CARNAGE for CS2
- Champions League coverage from the round of 16 through the final
- Pre-kickoff publish window so prices and fair values are fresh when you trade
What is Soccer MARKET?
Soccer MARKET is the Game of Skill prediction market scorecard for Premier League and major European fixtures. Every game on the slate gets GOS fair value probabilities for match result alongside the current Kalshi price and the edge between them. Fair value comes from team ratings, HAVOC player ratings, recent form, and matchup context.
When does Soccer MARKET launch?
Soccer MARKET debuts soon. The CS2 MARKET scorecard is live now and uses the same model architecture. Premier League and Champions League knockout coverage will expand from there.
How do I read the edge?
The edge shows where the model and the market disagree. +5% is worth a closer look. +8% or higher is a meaningful gap. Below +3% the market and model basically agree. The edge is a signal, not a trigger to trade.
Why three outcomes for soccer?
Soccer can end in a draw, so match result markets have three outcomes (home, draw, away) instead of two. The model produces a fair value for each.
Is Kalshi legal in my state?
Kalshi is a CFTC-designated contract market and is available in all 50 US states. No state restrictions. Use code SKILL at sign-up for a new-trader bonus.
Game of Skill is building Soccer MARKET as a companion to the live CS2 MARKET scorecard. GOS fair value vs Kalshi prices on Premier League fixtures, with edges flagged before kickoff.
For the live version see CS2 MARKET. For player-level ratings see the CARNAGE page. For prediction market education see the prediction markets explainer.